Polish Presidential Race on Knife-Edge as Late Polls Give Karol Nawrocki Slim Lead

Report by “Safarti Tarjuman” International News Desk

Poland’s presidential election descended into high drama late Sunday night as a fresh poll gave conservative candidate Karol Nawrocki a razor-thin lead over pro-European rival Rafał Trzaskowski, just hours after the Warsaw mayor had publicly declared victory.

According to a late poll released shortly after 10:30 p.m. local time, Nawrocki pulled slightly ahead with 50.1% of the vote compared to Trzaskowski’s 49.9%, defying earlier exit polls that had the government-aligned Trzaskowski in front by margins well within the 2% error range.

Two major polling firms—Ipsos and OGB—had previously shown Trzaskowski leading by just 0.6% and 0.34% respectively. In a defiant speech earlier in the evening, Trzaskowski declared the vote a “special moment” in Polish history and vowed to accelerate democratic reforms.

However, Nawrocki refused to concede, stating that full official results were yet to come and that his camp remained confident. Law and Justice (PiS) leader Jarosław Kaczyński backed Nawrocki’s stance, suggesting the outcome could impact the government led by Prime Minister Donald Tusk.

Party leader Jarosław Kaczyński echoed Nawrocki’s stance, stating that the conservative bloc had “every reason to believe” they would ultimately triumph once full results were in.

Sunday’s vote saw near-record turnout, reflecting deep public engagement in a race that has come to symbolize Poland’s direction both domestically and within the European Union.

Trzaskowski’s campaign, centered on restoring judicial independence and mending ties with Brussels, stood in sharp contrast to Nawrocki’s nationalist platform emphasizing sovereignty and traditional values.

Election Flashpoints and Final Moments

• In Siekierczyn, a single vote decided the local outcome in the first round.
• Tensions flared across parties as teetering exit polls left supporters uncertain.
• Minor scuffles and celebratory scenes were reported in key cities, though largely peaceful.

The Polish Electoral Commission is expected to announce official results by Monday morning. Both sides have urged calm as votes continue to be counted, though political tensions are already running high amid talk of constitutional clashes and potential protests.

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